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Did Trump Promise To Pay 1 Million Dollars If Elizabeth Warren Took A DNA Test?

Did Trump Promise To Pay 1 Million Dollars If Elizabeth Warren Took A DNA Test?

THE HILL wrote:

Trump denies offering $1 million for Warren DNA test, even though he did


CONTEXT

"President Trump on Monday denied that he offered Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) $1 million to take a test proving her Native American heritage, even though he did just that."

Elizabeth Warren's DNA analysis revealed that she can claim some native ancestry, however, the Boston Globe put it in perspective:

"The inherent imprecision of the six-page DNA analysis could provide fodder for Warren’s critics. If O.C. Sarah Smith were fully Native American, that would make Warren up to 1/32nd native. But the generational range based on the ancestor that the report identified suggests she’s between 1/64th and 1/1,024th Native American. The report notes there could be missed ancestors." https://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2018/10/15/warren-addresses-native-american-issue/YEUaGzsefB0gPBe2AbmSVO/story.html


There are two important things to note for context:

1. Elizabeth Warren's results appear to make her about as Native American than the average Native European (American). Here's the average according to the New York Times, "The researchers found that European-Americans had genomes that were on average 98.6 percent European, .19 percent African, and .18 Native American." https://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/25/science/23andme-genetic-ethnicity-study.html

2. The requirement for being consider a Native American is commonly considered between 1/16 and 1/4 genetically, "To give you a clue, the Eastern Band of Cherokee Indians a minimum of 1/16 degree of Cherokee blood for tribal enrollment, while the Bureau of Indian Affairs’ Higher Education Grant expects you to have the minimum of ¼ Native American blood percentages. That’s 25%." https://www.powwows.com/much-percentage-native-american-enrol-tribe/


THE SPIN

The spin here isn't concerned with the facts exactly, but with the writing within the article itself. The claim is that Trump offered to pay if Warren 'took the test' ---but that is also contradicted in the article. In fact, contradiction and incongruence is often a sign of spin.

THE HILL: "Trump spoke after Warren responded to the president's challenge and released the results of a DNA test showing she has a distant Native ancestor. '
I didn't say that. You'd better read it again,' Trump told reporters at the White House when asked about his $1 million offer."

In other words, "We gotcha!" But The Hill writer Jordan Fabian goes on to give the exact promise Trump made in contrast to the headline:

"I will give you a million dollars, to your favorite charity, paid for by Trump, if you take the test and it shows you’re an Indian," Trump said at the time. "I have a feeling she will say 'no.' "


SHE DIDN'T SAY, "NO." BUT, SHE'S ALSO NOT A NATIVE AMERICAN.

Fabian/The Hill is asserting that Trump promised 1 million if she took the test, but later notes that 'SHOWS YOU'RE AN INDIAN' is a necessary condition. The spin is that she 'merely' need to take the test to call Trump out, but that isn't Trump's offer, despite Fabian's claim.

By any standards of genetics or common sense, Elizabeth Warren is not a Native American. In fact, statistically speaking, Trump himself may actually be more Native American than Elizabeth Warren.

While this could be a fact-check issue, it's really about spin. The spin here is that a conclusion is asserted based on one part of a statement while looking past the other part of the statement. Often when we dig in the same article, we can find the spin on the truth. This isn't about facts or ideology, liberal or conservative; it's about framing the known information in such a way as to guide the reader to a certain conclusion. Trump clearly was not saying, "Take a DNA test and if you have any amount of Native blood, I'll donate a million dollars." 

He said what he said, "I will give you a million dollars, to your favorite charity, paid for by Trump, if you take the test and it shows you’re an Indian."

Senator Warren took the test and is not a Native American, so the promise isn't violated.

Nothing to see here folks.

Did The Senate Reject The #MeToo Movement?

Did The Senate Reject The #MeToo Movement?

Did The Senate Reject The MeToo Movement When It Voted Brett Kavanaugh In As A Supreme Court Justice?

The headline reads,
“Brett Kavanaugh Confirmed To Supreme Court As Senate Rejects Me Too Movement” (click to see Huffington Post Article).

Clearly this is a spin which pitches a false dichotomy. Either you support the #MeToo Movement by voting against Kavanaugh OR you reject the #MeToo movement by voting for Kavanaugh. This is a little nightmarishly amateur, but since we are in the process of learning about spins on this site, this seems a good place to start.

What Was Said:

The essential statement in the article that points back to the headline is, “Kavanaugh’s confirmation flies in the face of the cultural and political Me Too movement, which has empowered women in all walks of life to speak out about sexual assault and harassment, especially by men in positions of power.” The thought is that the Me Too Movement is a cultural/political movement that is empowering women to speak out. Of course,

this is a good thing; in fact, it is a  wonderful thing to see women speak out about abuse. The problem, hence the spin, occurs when speaking out is equated with infallibility. Just because someone speaks out or makes an assertion, why does that mean they are in the right?

This leads us to how the spin uses a common logical fallacy.

The Fallacy: False Dilemma

A false Dilemma is accurately described as “When only two choices are presented yet more exist, or a spectrum of possible choices exists between two extremes.  False dilemmas are usually characterized by “either this or that” language, but can also be characterized by omissions of choices.” [Click to see LogicallyFallacious]

The dilemma here is that one simply is

A. For Kavanaugh and against #MeToo

B. For #MeToo and against Kavanaugh

This means that there are no other options. You love me or hate me, help me or hurt me, cheer me or curse me.

THE GOAL: THINK PAST THE SPIN

When we think past the False Dilemma, we can quickly ask a fresh question, ” If the Senate had rejected Kavanaugh, would it then be a supporter of the #MeToo Movement? Of course, the jury would be out and we’d only be ‘the next vote’ away from a fresh accusation.

The reality is that accusations themselves are valid or invalid until they are proved or support to be so. The spin in this discussion presumes that an accusation is valid; however, for that to be true then the accusers must be incapable of deceit, deception, or confusion. Said differently, we must believe that any woman who makes an accusation is 100% honest and accurate.

If you care to read both sides of the issue, then you’ll find that there is no proof that supported Dr. Ford’s allegations to the level of a preponderance of the evidence, or even more likely than not. In the cycle of spin, you can see in the same article that the authors claim that, “Some argued that Ford’s contemporaries couldn’t corroborate her story, despite Ford securing affidavits from four people ​who said she previously told them about Kavanaugh’s alleged attack. “Of course, corroboration doesn’t mean that she told her story to other people at sometime in her life; but rather, that witnesses to the event, contemporary to the moment, actually support her claims. If you say you saw a space-alien when you were ten and got affidavits that proved you shared this information with others when you were 18, 24, 33, and 40— none of this would corroborate the space-alien event. For that to happen you need someone to say, “Yes, she came to me the next morning when she was ten years old and told me the whole story.”Dr. Ford could be completely right or completely deceived. Women should be supported in sharing instances of abuse (as too men). However, to accept carte blanche an accusation as true is untenable and self-defeating. Had Judge Kavanaugh accused her of stalking-and-attacking him, then why wouldn’t he be believed? The spin here is that there is a false choice; you either are pro or anti, for or against, so there is no middle possibility or option.But there are other options:

1. There was not enough evidence to come to a conclusion

2. The Senate could be pro-MeToo, but still require adequate proof

3.The MeToo Movement could be anti-Senate, anti-government, and so claim the same state of rejection, no matter what

4. You want #MeToo women to speak up and be listened to, but you don’t want anything accepted as ‘true’ without proof (see the horror of the Duke lacrosse team members accused of rape by Ms. Mangam, who lied and was eventually convicted of murder. See https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/2013/11/22/crystal-mangum-duke-lacrosse-rape-accuser-guilty-murder/3680701/)

While there are other possibilities, these are sufficient to show that the spin in play was to remove all options from our thinking so that we too must conclude the MeToo Movement is flawless and the Senate is evil. This isn’t about facts exactly, but about how the authors are spinning the bits of data to make you conclude what they want you to conclude. Think for yourself.Finally, and not much mentioned in the media, the Senate’s approval of Kavanaugh itself came down to about four votes on this issue. Therefore, another spin in play is that the decision of a bare-majority dictates the conclusion (according to the HuffPo writers)) that the ‘Whole Senate’ is against the MeToo Movement.

Have we solved the issues surrounding the #MeToo Movement? No, not at all. However, here we are concern with the spin in the HuffPo article, not the weightiness of the issues involved.

See the HuffPo SPIN that the Senate as an entity has rejected the #MeToo Movement and move along.

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